{"id":89933,"date":"2025-10-19T15:30:30","date_gmt":"2025-10-19T13:30:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/port.lukasiewicz.gov.pl\/?post_type=projects&#038;p=89933"},"modified":"2026-03-16T12:34:06","modified_gmt":"2026-03-16T11:34:06","slug":"modeling-and-forecasting-the-spread-of-infections-during-and-after-war-using-epidemiological-behavioral-and-genomic-surveillance-data-mpriw","status":"publish","type":"projects","link":"https:\/\/port.lukasiewicz.gov.pl\/en\/projekty-badawcze\/modeling-and-forecasting-the-spread-of-infections-during-and-after-war-using-epidemiological-behavioral-and-genomic-surveillance-data-mpriw\/","title":{"rendered":"Modeling and Forecasting the Spread of Infections During and After War Using Epidemiological, Behavioral, and Genomic Surveillance Data &#8211; MPRIW"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"89933\" class=\"elementor elementor-89933 elementor-67392\" data-elementor-post-type=\"projects\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f69f3d9 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"f69f3d9\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-d61813f elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"d61813f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p data-start=\"172\" data-end=\"267\">Project funded by the <strong data-start=\"194\" data-end=\"227\">National Science Centre (NCN)<\/strong> under the <strong data-start=\"238\" data-end=\"253\">\u201cIMPRESS-U\u201d<\/strong> competition<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-c3db5a9 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"c3db5a9\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2560\" height=\"216\" src=\"https:\/\/port.lukasiewicz.gov.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/35\/2025\/08\/ncn-logo-poziom-scaled.webp\" class=\"attachment-full size-full wp-image-86250\" alt=\"Logo Narodowego Centrum Nauki NCN\" srcset=\"https:\/\/port.lukasiewicz.gov.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/35\/2025\/08\/ncn-logo-poziom-scaled.webp 2560w, https:\/\/port.lukasiewicz.gov.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/35\/2025\/08\/ncn-logo-poziom-300x25.webp 300w, https:\/\/port.lukasiewicz.gov.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/35\/2025\/08\/ncn-logo-poziom-1024x86.webp 1024w, https:\/\/port.lukasiewicz.gov.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/35\/2025\/08\/ncn-logo-poziom-768x65.webp 768w, https:\/\/port.lukasiewicz.gov.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/35\/2025\/08\/ncn-logo-poziom-1536x130.webp 1536w, https:\/\/port.lukasiewicz.gov.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/35\/2025\/08\/ncn-logo-poziom-2048x173.webp 2048w, https:\/\/port.lukasiewicz.gov.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/35\/2025\/08\/ncn-logo-poziom-1200x101.webp 1200w, https:\/\/port.lukasiewicz.gov.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/35\/2025\/08\/ncn-logo-poziom-1980x167.webp 1980w, https:\/\/port.lukasiewicz.gov.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/35\/2025\/08\/ncn-logo-poziom-24x2.webp 24w, https:\/\/port.lukasiewicz.gov.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/35\/2025\/08\/ncn-logo-poziom-36x3.webp 36w, https:\/\/port.lukasiewicz.gov.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/35\/2025\/08\/ncn-logo-poziom-48x4.webp 48w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-68d16a8 cut-off-wrapper-90 elementor-widget__width-initial elementor-widget-tablet__width-initial elementor-widget-mobile__width-inherit elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"68d16a8\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Project number: <strong data-start=\"285\" data-end=\"308\">2023\/05\/Y\/ST6\/00263<\/strong><br data-start=\"308\" data-end=\"311\" \/>Project value: <strong data-start=\"326\" data-end=\"346\">1,668,991.00 PLN<\/strong><br data-start=\"346\" data-end=\"349\" \/>Funding amount: <strong data-start=\"365\" data-end=\"385\">1,668,991.00 PLN<\/strong>, <br \/>including <strong data-start=\"397\" data-end=\"438\">331,398.00 PLN <\/strong>for \u0141ukasiewicz \u2013 PORT<br data-start=\"438\" data-end=\"441\" \/>Project duration: <strong data-start=\"459\" data-end=\"486\">06\/06\/2024 \u2013 05\/06\/2026<\/strong><br data-start=\"486\" data-end=\"489\" data-is-only-node=\"\" \/>Project manager: <strong>Dr. hab. Heng-Chang Chen<\/strong><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-31802bf elementor-align-left elementor-widget elementor-widget-button\" data-id=\"31802bf\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"button.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-button-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-button elementor-button-link elementor-size-sm\" href=\"https:\/\/bazawiedzy.port.lukasiewicz.gov.pl\/info\/projectmain\/PORTef3d6f41524345fea71fcee78eefa0ca?r=projectmain&#038;ps=20&#038;tab=&#038;title=Projekty%2B%25E2%2580%2593%2BModelowanie%2Bi%2Bprognozowanie%2Brozprzestrzeniania%2Bsi%25C4%2599%2Binfekcji%2Bw%2Bczasie%2Bwojny%2Bi%2Bokresie%2Bpowojennym%2Bz%2Bwykorzystaniem%2Bdanych%2Bz%2Bnadzoru%2Bepidemiologicznego%252C%2Bbehawioralnego%2Bi%2Bgenomicznego%2B%25E2%2580%2593%2BSie%25C4%2587%2BBadawcza%2B%25C5%2581ukasiewicz%2B-%2BPORT%2BPolski%2BO%25C5%259Brodek%2BRozwoju%2BTechnologii&#038;lang=pl\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-content-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-icon\">\n\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"e-font-icon-svg e-fas-arrow-right\" viewBox=\"0 0 448 512\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><path d=\"M190.5 66.9l22.2-22.2c9.4-9.4 24.6-9.4 33.9 0L441 239c9.4 9.4 9.4 24.6 0 33.9L246.6 467.3c-9.4 9.4-24.6 9.4-33.9 0l-22.2-22.2c-9.5-9.5-9.3-25 .4-34.3L311.4 296H24c-13.3 0-24-10.7-24-24v-32c0-13.3 10.7-24 24-24h287.4L190.9 101.2c-9.8-9.3-10-24.8-.4-34.3z\"><\/path><\/svg>\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-text\">ZOBACZ PROJEKT<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-d1d976e elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"d1d976e\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p data-start=\"539\" data-end=\"575\">Project implemented in consortium:<\/p><ul data-start=\"576\" data-end=\"717\"><li data-start=\"576\" data-end=\"622\"><p data-start=\"578\" data-end=\"622\">Lodz University of Technology \u2013 Leader<\/p><\/li><li data-start=\"623\" data-end=\"717\"><p data-start=\"625\" data-end=\"717\">\u0141ukasiewicz Research Network \u2013 PORT Polish Center for Technology Development \u2013 Partner<\/p><\/li><\/ul><p data-start=\"724\" data-end=\"1207\">This project represents one of the <strong data-start=\"759\" data-end=\"824\">first attempts to develop computational models and algorithms<\/strong> for analyzing <strong data-start=\"839\" data-end=\"906\">epidemiological dynamics in conflict and post-conflict settings<\/strong>. Through its <strong data-start=\"920\" data-end=\"950\">interdisciplinary approach<\/strong>, it integrates current advances in <strong data-start=\"986\" data-end=\"1011\">computational biology<\/strong>, <strong data-start=\"1013\" data-end=\"1042\">mathematical epidemiology<\/strong>, <strong data-start=\"1044\" data-end=\"1064\">machine learning<\/strong>, and <strong data-start=\"1070\" data-end=\"1093\">operations research<\/strong>, while aligning with modern trends of incorporating <strong data-start=\"1146\" data-end=\"1174\">human behavioral factors<\/strong> into epidemiological modeling.<\/p><p data-start=\"1209\" data-end=\"1620\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">The main objectives of the project are to <strong data-start=\"1251\" data-end=\"1294\">model the spread of infectious diseases<\/strong> during and after armed conflicts, and to <strong data-start=\"1336\" data-end=\"1391\">identify strategies and decision-support mechanisms<\/strong> for <strong data-start=\"1396\" data-end=\"1419\">epidemic prevention<\/strong> and <strong data-start=\"1424\" data-end=\"1453\">public health improvement<\/strong>. The outcomes of this research will help define <strong data-start=\"1502\" data-end=\"1545\">action plans for post-conflict recovery<\/strong>, supporting the <strong data-start=\"1562\" data-end=\"1619\">effective reconstruction of healthcare infrastructure<\/strong>.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Project funded by the National Science Centre (NCN) under the \u201cIMPRESS-U\u201d competition Project number: 2023\/05\/Y\/ST6\/00263Project value: 1,668,991.00 PLNFunding amount: 1,668,991.00 PLN, including 331,398.00 PLN for \u0141ukasiewicz \u2013 PORTProject duration: 06\/06\/2024 \u2013 05\/06\/2026Project manager: Dr. hab. Heng-Chang Chen ZOBACZ PROJEKT Project implemented in consortium: Lodz University of Technology \u2013 Leader \u0141ukasiewicz Research Network \u2013 PORT Polish [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":81512,"menu_order":0,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[747],"grupy_badawcze":[611],"pozostale_projekty":[],"class_list":["post-89933","projects","type-projects","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nsc","grupy_badawcze-grupa-badawcza-wirusologii-ilosciowej"],"acf":{"kierownik_projektu":["Dr. hab. Heng-Chang Chen"],"dofinansowanie":"Narodowe Centrum Nauki","grupa_badawcza":["Quantitative Virology Research Group"],"nazwa_projektu":"","tematyka_projektu":"","opis_projektu":"","dofinanowanie":"National Science Centre","adres_pola_url":"https:\/\/port.lukasiewicz.gov.pl\/projekty-badawcze\/modelowanie-i-prognozowanie-rozprzestrzeniania-sie-infekcji-w-czasie-wojny-i-okresie-powojennym-z-wykorzystaniem-danych-z-nadzoru-epidemiologicznego-behawioralnego-i-genomicznego-mpriw\/"},"publishpress_future_action":{"enabled":true,"date":"2026-06-05 00:00:00","action":"category","newStatus":"draft","terms":[595],"taxonomy":"category","extraData":[]},"publishpress_future_workflow_manual_trigger":{"enabledWorkflows":[]},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/port.lukasiewicz.gov.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/projects\/89933","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/port.lukasiewicz.gov.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/projects"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/port.lukasiewicz.gov.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/projects"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/port.lukasiewicz.gov.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/projects\/89933\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":97446,"href":"https:\/\/port.lukasiewicz.gov.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/projects\/89933\/revisions\/97446"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/port.lukasiewicz.gov.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/81512"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/port.lukasiewicz.gov.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=89933"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/port.lukasiewicz.gov.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=89933"},{"taxonomy":"grupy_badawcze","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/port.lukasiewicz.gov.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/grupy_badawcze?post=89933"},{"taxonomy":"pozostale_projekty","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/port.lukasiewicz.gov.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pozostale_projekty?post=89933"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}